Since 2003
the international community pressured Iran via the UN and the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to halt its uranium enrichment related and
reprocessing activities. Serious European Union (EU) efforts were made in 2005
when Iran wanted Israel “to be wiped off the map”. The
Bush administration started sanctions and the Obama administration escalated
and intensified them. The New
York Times reported June 30, 2012 that Iran conceded that its oil
exports were down 20 to 30% and its currency had plunged more than 40% against
the dollar since last year. Obama and his European allies placed a round of penalties
effective July 1 that some said represent one of the boldest uses of oil
sanctions as a tool of coercion since the US cut off oil exports to Japan in
1940. In addition to these measures Obama has tried open appeals to the Iranian
people and private letters to the supreme leader; he accelerated a cyber attack
to exploit vulnerabilities in Iran’s nuclear program. R. Nicholas Burns, who helped design the Bush administration’s sanctions
strategy said the new sanctions “are the toughest sanctions imposed to date. We
should give them a few months to have the kind of impact for which they are
designed — to force Iran to negotiate more seriously.” The
administration was successful in managing to cut purchases from Iran without
raising oil prices, a feat many doubted would be possible; it helped that
suppliers including Saudi Arabia, Libya and Iraq have increased their
production and there was weakening global demand. Since January, Washington has
engaged in an intense diplomatic campaign to get big purchasers of Iranian oil including
India, South Korea, China and Japan to reduce their volume of imports so they
do not find themselves facing sanctions. Many countries grumbled but complied
particularly after Saudi Arabia and other countries made it clear they could
replace the lost supply; the biggest holdout was China and Washington granted
China and Singapore waivers, avoiding what could have been a tense standoff as
the administration faced penalizing its biggest sovereign creditor. The
Chinese, for their part, did not want to appear to be bending to American
pressure. This past spring there was hope for an agreement when Iran met with
the 5 permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany but subsequent
rounds of talks have gone nowhere. Reuters on October
17 reported according to the International
Monetary Fund Iran had foreign reserves
of $106 billion at the end of last year; some
analysts estimate they may have dropped by several tens of billions of dollars
as the sanctions cut Iran's oil income. On October 25 the Tehran Mehr News Agency reported the Iranian
currency had lost nearly 40% of its value against the dollar this month.
The President was correct in saying Iran’s currency had
plunged 80% (40% by June & 40% in October). The fact that Obama is right
more than wrong and Romney is wrong more than right is not swaying American voters.
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